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Marex’s Weather and Fundamental Analysis team provide daily weather reports, applicable to Energy and Agricultural markets. Our reports deliver market-relevant weather information through synoptic scale forecasts up to 21-days, as well as commentary on the latest reanalysis data.
Our European Weather Premium Channel covers forecasts and discussion of geopotential height anomalies, temperatures, wind, and rainfall across the continent, with particular attention to the implications for both energy demand and supply, in addition to changes across agricultural growing regions.
Contributors
Premium Channel
The 'European Weather' Premium Channel features forecasting and reanalysis applicable for agricultural and energy markets across the continent and in specific growing regions including synoptic scale analysis of geopotential height anomalies, temperature, and rainfall. Our 21-day synoptic scale forecast of geopotential height anomalies across the region are devised from a 40-member ensemble forecast and forced into three clusters, based on the nearest neighbour approach, with the first cluster the most probable outcome. Initially designed for energy markets, discussion of pressure centres, temperatures, wind, and rainfall can be applied across sectors.
Receive:
- 21 day weather outlook
- 10 day short term weather forecasts for Europe focusing on beet regions in north-west Europe focusing on rainfall/temperatures
- POTENTIAL Ukraine/Russia/Poland grains regions 21 day
- POTENTIAL Ukraine/Russia/Poland grains regions 10 day
- POTENTIAL HDD analysis
Add-on: Weekly 30min voice note with detailed model run presented by the author
Add-on: Market signal delivered via FTP
Markets covered
- Sugar
- Wheat Market
- Grains
- Europe energy markets: EU Natural gas (TTF)
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